Jelena Ostapenko vs Madison Keys Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison
Wojtek Kolan
HEAD TO HEAD
J. Ostapenko vs M. Keys
Jelena Ostapenko
LAT
l
l
w
l
l
w
l
l
l
l
2
Win
6
Played
4
Win
28
Age
30
1.77m
Height
1.78m
23
C. Rank
7
5
Best Rank
5
9
Total Titles
11
1
YTD Titles
2
$11.7M
Career Money
$20.8M
Right-handed (two-handed backhand)
Plays
Right-handed (two-handed backhand)
Madison Keys
USA
w
w
w
l
w
w
l
l
l
l
2
Win
6
Played
4
Win
28
Age
30
1.77m
Height
1.78m
23
C. Rank
7
5
Best Rank
5
9
Total Titles
11
1
YTD Titles
2
$11.7M
Career Money
$20.8M
Right-handed (two-handed backhand)
Plays
Right-handed (two-handed backhand)
Head-to-head: Ostapenko 2 - 4 Keys
They have played 13 sets in total, with Jelena Ostapenko winning 5 and Madison Keys winning 8. The last match between Madison Keys and Jelena Ostapenko was at the Adelaide International - Adelaide, 08-01-2025, Round: R2, Surface: Hard, with Madison Keys getting the victory 3-6 6-4 6-3.
| Players | Head To Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Ostapenko | 2 |
| Keys | 4 |
Last 6 H2H Matches:
(R2) Adelaide International - Adelaide(01-08-25)
Madison Keys
3
6
6
Jelena Ostapenko
6
4
3
(R1) Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha(02-14-23)
Jelena Ostapenko
7
6
Madison Keys
5
2
(R2) Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati(08-17-22)
Madison Keys
6
7
Jelena Ostapenko
4
5
J. Ostapenko vs M. Keys H2H Profile
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| $11,743,067 | Career Prize Money | $20,819,148 |
| 61.23% (409-259) | Career Total W/L | 64.27% (421-234) |
| 0 | Clay | 1 |
| 1 | Grass | 1 |
| 1 | Hard | 2 |
| 16 | Titles | 14 |
| 2 | Total H2H Matches | 4 |
| 47.37% (18-20) | YTD Win/Loss | 71.15% (37-15) |
| 1 | YTD Titles | 2 |
J. Ostapenko vs M. Keys Match Preview:
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Jelena Ostapenko has won 37.80% of points on their second serve, while Madison Keys has won 40.91%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Jelena Ostapenko, in recent form, has won 50.12% of their opponent's second serve points, while Madison Keys has won 49.23%. The same stats for first serve returns are 31.20% and 28.81% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Jelena Ostapenko has saved 40.65% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Madison Keys has saved 55.90% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Jelena Ostapenko has won 47.37% of matches played (W/L 18/20), with Madison Keys winning 71.15% (W/L 37/15) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Jelena Ostapenko has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 68% (W/L 54/26), and worse career win % on Hard, winning 54% (W/L 145/125). Madison Keys has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 68% (W/L 54/22), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 50% (W/L 17/17).
- Player level: In the last year, Jelena Ostapenko has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 41.18% of matches (W/L 7/10), where as Madison Keys has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 63.64% of matches (W/L 14/8). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 6 times before with Jelena Ostapenko winning 1 times and Madison Keys being victorious 4 times. They have played 13 sets in total, with Jelena Ostapenko winning 5 and Madison Keys winning 8.
- The last match between Jelena Ostapenko and Madison Keys was at the Adelaide International - Adelaide, 08-01-2025, Round: R2, Surface: Hard, with Madison Keys getting the victory 3-6 6-4 6-3.
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:31:8.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Jelena Ostapenko has played against opponents with an average rank of 62.05 while Madison Keys has played against players with an average rank of 48.08.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Jelena Ostapenko has won 64% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Madison Keys has won 71% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Jelena Ostapenko has converted 52.63% of breakpoint opportunities, and Madison Keys has converted 38.35% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
Jelena Ostapenko vs Madison Keys Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.
J. Ostapenko vs M. Keys H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | H2H Matches Won | 4 |
| 5 | Sets Won | 8 |
| 61 | Games Won | 69 |
| 17 | Aces (Total) | 28 |
| 34 | Total Double Faults | 12 |
| 1:31:8 | Average Match Time | 1:31:8 |
| 57% (257/448) | 1st Serve % | 64% (282/438) |
| 65% (166/257) | 1st Serve Win % | 66% (185/282) |
| 44% (84/191) | 2nd Serve Win % | 46% (72/156) |
| 47% (20/43) | Break Pts Won % | 41% (24/59) |
| 41% (181/438) | Return Points Win % | 44% (198/448) |
| 20% (1/5) | Best‑of‑3 Win % | 80% (4/5) |
| 0% (0/2) | Deciding Set Win % | 100% (2/2) |
| 50% (2/4) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 100% (2/2) |
| 50% (2/4) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 0% (0/2) |
| 0% (0/2) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 50% (2/4) |
Recent Performance Stats
2nd Serve Win %: Ostapenko 41%, Keys 47%.
Opp 2nd Serve Pts Won: Ostapenko 57%, Keys 54%.
Break Points Saved %: Ostapenko 50%, Keys 58%.
J. Ostapenko Recent Matches Played
| OPPONENT | RESULT | SCORE | H2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wuhan Open - Wuhan - 06-10-2025 | ||||
R1  Sorana CirsteaS. Cirstea | L | 6-0 2-1 ret. | ||
| China Open - Beijing - 22-09-2025 | ||||
R2  Priscilla HonP. Hon | L | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara - 08-09-2025 | ||||
R2  Marina StakusicM. Stakusic | L | 6-4 6-7(6) 6-2 | ||
| U.S. Open - New York - 25-08-2025 | ||||
R2 Taylor TownsendT. Townsend | L | 7-5 6-1 | ||
R1  Xiyu WangX. Wang | W | 6-4 6-3 | ||
M. Keys Recent Matches Played
| OPPONENT | RESULT | SCORE | H2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 WTA Finals - Riyadh - 03-11-2025 | ||||
Robin Amanda AnisimovaA. Anisimova | L | 4-6 6-3 6-2 | ||
Robin  Iga SwiatekI. Swiatek | L | 6-1 6-2 | ||
| U.S. Open - New York - 25-08-2025 | ||||
R1  Renata ZarazuaR. Zarazua | L | 6-7(10) 7-6(3) 7-5 | ||
| Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati - 04-08-2025 | ||||
R4  Elena RybakinaE. Rybakina | L | 6-7(3) 6-4 6-2 | ||
R3  Aoi ItoA. Ito | W | 6-4 6-0 | ||
J. Ostapenko vs M. Keys Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 61.23% (409/259) | YTD Win/Loss | 64.27% (421/234) |
| 57.77% (900/658) | Sets Win/Loss | 62.25% (935/567) |
| 53.38% (7632/6665) | Games Win/Loss | 54.63% (7694/6389) |
| 53.70% (145/125) | Hard Win/Loss | 64.12% (252/141) |
| 66.86% (117/58) | Clay Win/Loss | 64.47% (98/54) |
| 65.03% (93/50) | Indoor Hard W/L | 50.00% (17/17) |
| 67.50% (54/26) | Grass Win/Loss | 71.05% (54/22) |
| 0.24 | Aces Per Game | 0.42 |
| 1647 | Aces Total | 2893 |
| 0.43 | Double Faults Per Game | 0.21 |
| 3031 | Total Double Faults | 1416 |
| 1:13:48 | Average Match Time | 1:19:25 |
| 376.14 | Average Opponent Rank | 353.74 |
| 56% (20945/37471) | 1st Serve % | 63% (25508/40424) |
| 65% (13671/20945) | 1st Serve Win % | 69% (17495/25508) |
| 43% (7174/16512) | 2nd Serve Win % | 48% (7162/14899) |
| 49% (2313/4708) | Break Points Won % (Total) | 44% (2121/4838) |
| 46% (17077/37028) | Return Points Win % | 43% (18091/41631) |
| 61.39% (62/39) | Slam W/L | 70.86% (124/51) |
| 52.38% (88/80) | Masters W/L | 55.77% (116/92) |
| 58.06% (18/13) | Cups W/L | 44.44% (4/5) |
| 60.17% (139/92) | Main Tour W/L | 66.32% (126/64) |
| 66.25% (53/27) | Challenger W/L | 64.91% (37/20) |
| 85.96% (49/8) | Futures W/L | 87.50% (14/2) |
| 61% (399/653) | Best of 3 Sets Win % | 65% (417/643) |
| 40% (2/5) | Best of 5 Sets Win % | 25% (1/4) |
| 57% (76/134) | Tiebreaks Win % (Total) | 58% (102/177) |
| 61% (139/227) | Deciding Set Win % | 53% (104/197) |
| 86% (387/333) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 87% (426/369) |
| 14% (387/54) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 13% (426/56) |
| 26% (281/74) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 22% (229/51) |
Other Tennis Predictions Today
05:00 PM 12/11/25
Prediction
A. ThanosD. MilavskyW1
1.44
W2
2.55
07:30 PM 12/11/25
PredictionJ. BoulaisT. MccormickW1
1.53
W2
2.31
05:00 PM 12/11/25
PredictionJ. C. M. Aguilar
L. WesselsqW1
1.43
W2
2.58
12:50 AM 12/11/25
Prediction
S. Baez1WC
A. G. MezaW1
1.25
W2
3.48
05:00 PM 12/11/25
Prediction
C. BroomP. Zahraj3W1
1.666
W2
2.05
01:15 AM 12/11/25
Prediction
Z. Kolar
J. A. CardozoqW1
1.036
W2
8.2
Tennis Previews & Betting Tips
11 Nov 2025
Sebastian Baez vs Alvaro Guillen Meza Prediction – ATP Montevideo Challenger – 12th November 2025 Best Bets
11 Nov 2025
Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex De Minaur Prediction – ATP Nitto ATP Finals – 11th November 2025 Best Bets
11 Nov 2025
Nitto ATP Finals – Turin Preview And Prediction: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex De Minaur Betting Tips & Picks November 11, 2025
11 Nov 2025
Daniel Dutra Da Silva vs Emilio Nava Prediction – ATP Montevideo Challenger – 11th November 2025 Best Bets
11 Nov 2025
Viktor Durasovic vs Shintaro Mochizuki Prediction – ATP Lyon Challenger – 11th November 2025 Best Bets
11 Nov 2025
Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritz Prediction – ATP Nitto ATP Finals – 11th November 2025 Best Bets
Top Predictions Today
Taylor FritzAlex De Minaur12:00
H2H 5-5
Jannik SinnerAlexander Zverev22:30
H2H 5-4
Jannik SinnerBen SheltonH2H 7-1
Carlos AlcarazLorenzo Musetti13:30
H2H 6-1
Tennis Events This Week
Nitto ATP Finals - Turin
Italy
Brisbane 3 Challenger
Australia
Champaign Challenger
United States
Drummondville Challenger
Canada
Kobe Challenger
Japan
Lyon Challenger
France
Montevideo Challenger
Uruguay
M15 Antalya
Turkey
M15 Heraklion
Greece
M15 Kuala Lumpur
Malaysia
M15 Las Palmas de Gran Canaria
Spain
M15 Luanda
Angola
M15 San Gregorio di Catania
Italy
M15 Sharm ElSheikh
Egypt
M25 Manama
Bahrain
M25 Manzanillo
Mexico
M25 Monastir
Tunisia